port strike 2024 what to stock up on INTERNATIONAL LONGSHOREMAN ASSOCIATION IS SET TO HIT PORTS ON THE EAST COAST AND GULF OF MEXICO TOMORROW. JOINING US TO DISCUSS THE DISRUPTION TO THE SUPPLY CHAIN IS DAVID KEISTLING AT KEN CO GROUP.
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YOU EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN, DAVID, AT THIS POINT? IT’S TOUGH TO AVERT. >> YES, I DON’T THINK THERE’S BEEN ANYTHING IN THE LAST 24 HOURS THAT SAYS EITHER SIDE IS READY TO NEGOTIATE.
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IS THAT ONE OF THE DOWN SIDES FOR THE PORTS AFFECTED? DOES ANY OF THAT SHIFT BECOME PERMANENT AND DOES THAT TAKE INTO THE CALCULUS OF THE STRIKERS? >> I THINK THAT’S AN INTERESTING THING WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE INDUSTRIES AFFECTED. CLEARLY, AUTOMOTIVE IS AFFECTED AND COMPONENTS IN PARTICULAR.
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THERE’S APPAREL THAT’S AFFECTED. THE PANAMA CANAL HAS WIDENED AND DEEPENED SO THE LARGE SHIPS CAN GET FROM THE FAR WEST TO THE EAST COAST TO ELIMINATE THAT LEG OF INTERNAL MOVEMENT INSIDE THE UNITED STATES OR THROUGH THE UNITED STATES. SO, YOU KNOW, AUTOMOTIVE AND APPAREL AND LASTLY PHARMACEUTICAL.
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LET’S NOT FORGET ABOUT EXPORTS. PORK AND BEEF. RANCHERS IN THE UNITED STATES RELY ON A CONSISTENT VOLUME OF VESSELS AVAILABLE FOR EXPORT. >> I CAN SEE HOW THIS IS INFLATIONARY AND DEFLATIONARY DEPENDING ON WHAT’S MORE AFF AFFECTED. >> CORRECT. IF YOU READ ANYTHING, EVERYBODY IS TALKING ABOUT THE PRICE OF ABO BANANAS BECAUSE THAT’S EXPORTED.
THERE COULD BE AN ISSUE WITH ITEMS INCLUDING PORK AND BEEF THAT MAY NOT BE EXPORTED LIKE THEY ARE TODAY. YOU ALSO SAID WHAT’S THE LONG-TERM IMPACT. I THINK WHAT WE LEARNED FROM COVID IS THAT, YOU KNOW, NEAR SHORING CONTINUES TO BE AN OPTION. I THINK MOVING MANUFACTURING INTERNALLY DOMESTIC TO THE UNITED STATES BECOMES AN OPTION AS WELL.
I THINK WHAT WE’VE SEEN IS THERE’S LESS FRICTION AND COMPLEXITY FROM THE TRADE STANDPOINT WHEN WE MOVE FROM MEXICO OR CENTRAL AMERICA WHERE GOODS ARE MANUFACTURED OUTSIDE THE U.S., BUT CONSUMED HERE INSIDE.